After John McCain claimed on Fox News Sunday that Sarah Palin can beat Obama, here is a little reality based straight talk on why she can’t and won’t.
Here is the video:
When asked if Palin can win the nomination and beat Obama, McCain said, “Of course she can. She can. Now, whether she will or not, whether she’ll even run or not, I don’t know, but you know a lot things happen in campaigns, Chris. You remember I was written off a couple of times and we were able to come back. It’s going to be a roller coaster ride for all of them before we finally arrive at our nominee, but she certainly is a major factor, and I believe she can be very competitive.”
McCain drank the Palin Kool-Aid as to why her negatives are so high, “I think that again that’s what campaigns are all about. I have never seen anyone as mercilessly and relentlessly attacked as I have seen Sarah Palin in the last couple of years, but she also inspires great passion particularly among the Republican faithful.”
It’s time to deliver a little straight talk to Sen. McCain. Palin does inspire a great deal of passion among the Republican faithful, but that passion cuts both ways. According to the latest CNN/Opinion Research Republican poll, Sarah Palin was third in the poll at 13%, just three points out of the lead, but when Republicans were asked if they would be pleased if Palin won the nomination, 56% said that they would be enthusiastic or pleased, and 43% said that they would be displeased or upset.
Last month’s NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that Sarah Palin is strongly approved of by only 9% of America, and 57% of those surveyed overall disapproved of her. Even worse for Palin, her Tea Party support has fallen to 14%. Sarah Palin’s overall approval rating of 25% was less than half of Obama’s. A recent Bloomberg poll found that Sarah Palin’s disapproval rating was at 60%. Palin is the most disliked national politician in the country. For the record, Rick Scott in Florida has become the reviled politician in America.
McCain is blaming the media for Sarah Palin’s bad polling numbers, but it has been her ugly rhetoric that has caused her poll numbers to crash. Her language is uglier than anything the media has seen in a long time, and yet all too often she has been given the white glove treatment. Until the infamous blood libel video the media let Palin lob her distortions and inaccuracies unchallenged. John McCain was dredging up the same excuse his campaign used to shield Sarah Palin from the media in 2008.
The truth is that Republicans will be longing for McCain and his 2008 vote totals if they nominate Sarah Palin. Sarah Palin is the weakest of the potential GOP candidates against Obama. She trails Obama by an average of 19 points in both national and state polls. Even worse if Republicans nominate Palin, they might not be able to carry Alaska.
The most recent Alaska Poll found that Palin had a 61% disapproval rating in her former home state. Last year a poll of the state revealed that Obama was more popular than Sarah Palin. No one knows a presidential candidate better than their home state, and Alaska is telling the rest of the nation that Sarah Palin should not be president.
McCain knows that Palin can’t beat Obama, but he can’t say anything negative about her since she is a big part of his political legacy. John McCain would like nothing more than to see Palin elected president because it would validate his selection of her as his running mate in 2008. If McCain insults Palin, he is insulting himself because he is the one who elevated her to the national stage.
Anyone could be competitive in the 2012 contest for the Republican nomination, but Sarah Palin wouldn’t be competitive against, much less defeat, Obama.
Either John McCain was lying through his teeth, or he has gone completely senile, but the truth is that Sarah Palin has zero chance of beating Barack Obama.