On his radio show today, Glenn Beck was talking about his upcoming interview with Sarah Palin, when he predicted that Sarah Palin won’t be the Republican nominee, “She won’t be able to get the Republican nomination. It’s Mitt Romney’s turn.”
Here is the video courtesy of Media Matters:
While talking about whether or not Palin is the real deal, the conversation turned to 2012, and Beck said, “She’s not gonna, She won’t be able to get the Republican nomination. I don’t think she’ll get the Republican nomination. It’s Mitt Romney’s turn. That’s the way it always works with Republicans, they go by turns.”
Beck and company actually brought up an interesting subject for debate. The GOP does have a history of picking the nominee by rewarding the good party solider. If the Republican Party is going by turns, it could be argued that 2012 will be Sarah Palin’s turn because she was the vice presidential nominee in 2008.
The next presidential election could be different because neither Romney nor Palin has been the good party solider who has put in years of work for the GOP. There are a multitude of reasons why Palin won’t be the nominee that are completely unrelated to turns. First and foremost, she is not electable. She quit as Alaska governor, and is still viewed as an intellectual lightweight.
Mitt Romney’s biggest problems are that he is as exciting as oatmeal. He is not trusted by the rank and file of the party. He is a flip-flopper, and his Mormon faith is held against him by many evangelical voters.
Speaking of the Mormon faith, Glenn Beck could be just as tad bit biased in his prediction, because his is rooting for his fellow Mormon. There isn’t anything wrong with this, but it is entirely possible that his view of 2012 might be shaped in part by his shared faith with Romney.